Opinion by Conn Carroll
That ABC News poll showing President Joe Biden trailing former President Donald Trump 42%-52% doesn’t look like much of an outlier anymore. Not after a new NBC News poll shows Democrats trailing Republicans by historic margins on the issues of crime, the economy, and immigration.
Oh, and a separate Morning Consult poll shows voters now believe the Democratic Party is far more ideologically extreme than Republicans.
Just days after ABC News found that only 37% of voters approve of Biden’s job as president, including only 30% who approve of his handling of the economy and just 23% who approve of his handling of immigration, NBC News is out with a poll showing voters trust Republicans more than Democrats on the issues of border security, crime, and the economy by historically high 30-point, 26-point, and 21-point margins.
“On this survey after 20 or 30 years, Republicans dealing with the economy [versus Democrats], immigration, and crime are all at their all-time highs,” pollster Bill McInturff told NBC News.
Meanwhile, a new Morning Consult poll found that 47% of voters viewed the Democratic Party as “too liberal” compared to 38% of voters who said the Republican Party was “too conservative.”
That same Morning Consult poll also found that Republicans led Democrats on which party is best “capable of governing” by a 47% to 44% margin. In 2020 it was Democrats who held the lead on competence by a 48% to 42% margin.
Democrats did maintain a huge lead on one issue, however: abortion. Just 28% of voters said Republicans would do a better job dealing with the issue of abortion, compared to 46% who said the same thing about Democrats.
Democratic Party activists believe this one issue, abortion, is already saving them from what should otherwise be a terrible year for Democrats electorally. Pointing to special election wins in New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, one Democratic Party activist tells the New York Times, “Dobbs absolutely changed the way that people thought about and processed things that they had perceived as a given. We continue to see voters recognizing what’s at stake in these elections.”
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Will abortion still be at the front of voters’ minds 14 months from now, a full 2 1/2 years after the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade?
If not, Democrats are in for a world of hurt next November.